2 analyses covering maritime — source-graded evidence, competing hypotheses, and calibrated confidence.
The 2026 crisis reveals a fundamental shift in how power operates in the global economy: in the 21st century, geopolitical competition is increasingly about control over flows of goods, energy, data…
Executive Summary: Maritime chokepoints have emerged as primary vectors for geopolitical coercion in 2026 (HIGH confidence, 85-90%), fundamentally altering the strategic calculus for state actors who…